Outlook

Financial guidance for 2025 (Half-year Financial Report 1-6/2025, 14 August 2025)

The Marimekko Group’s net sales for 2025 are expected to grow from the previous year (2024: EUR 182.6 million). Comparable operating profit margin is estimated to be approximately some 16–19 percent (2024: 17.5 percent). Rapid changes and uncertainties in the global trade policy, development of consumer confidence and purchasing power in the company’s main markets as well as possible disruptions in global supply chains, among others, cause volatility to the outlook for 2025.

Uncertainties related to the development of net sales and result are described in more detail in the risks section.

Market outlook and growth targets for 2025 (Half-year Financial Report 1-6/2025, 14 August 2025)

There are still significant uncertainties related to the development of the global economy, such as tensions related to geopolitics and trade relations. The indirect impacts of these tensions and other uncertainties, as well increasing tariffs, on the general economic situation may be reflected in consumer confidence, purchasing power and behavior and, as a result, can have a weakening impact on Marimekko’s business in 2025. Possible disruptions in production and logistics chains may also have a negative impact on the company’s sales, profitability and cash flow.

Finland, Marimekko’s important domestic market, traditionally represents about half of the company’s net sales. Sales in Finland in 2025 are impacted by the weak general economy and low consumer confidence as well as the development of purchasing power and behavior. In addition, the tactical operating environment continues to have an impact on the business. The timing between quarters of the non-recurring promotional deliveries in Finnish wholesale sales and their size typically vary on an annual basis. In 2025, the non-recurring promotional deliveries in wholesale sales are expected to be significantly lower than in the comparable year and weighted clearly in the second half of the year. Despite the weak market situation, net sales in Finland are expected to be approximately at the level of the previous year or increase slightly.

International sales are estimated to grow in 2025. In the strategy period 2023–2027, Marimekko focuses on Asia as the most important geographical area for international growth. In 2025, net sales in the Asia-Pacific region, Marimekko’s second-largest market, are expected to increase. All brick-and-mortar Marimekko stores and most online stores in Asia are partner-owned. In 2025, the aim is to open approximately 10–15 new Marimekko stores and shop-in-shops, and most of the planned openings will be in Asia.

Licensing income in 2025 is forecasted to be significantly below the previous year’s record level.

Due to the seasonal nature of Marimekko’s business, a major portion of the company’s euro-denominated net sales and operating result are traditionally generated during the second half of the year. Net sales and operating profit development in the first quarter of 2025 was negatively impacted by timing differences from the comparison period. In the comparable year, a large amount of non-recurring promotional deliveries in Finnish wholesale sales occurred exceptionally during the first quarter of the year. In addition, a significant part of licensing income in 2024 was recorded already during the first quarter of the year, unlike in 2025.

Marimekko develops its business with a long-term view and aims to continue scaling its profitable growth in the upcoming years. In 2025, fixed costs are expected to be up on the previous year. The general cost inflation continues to also affect Marimekko in 2025. Personnel expenses are impacted, for example, by general pay increases in different markets. Marketing expenses are expected to increase (2024: EUR 10.6 million).

Increasing tariffs in the United States have a direct impact on only a small part of Marimekko’s business, as the entire North American market accounted for 6 percent of the Group’s net sales in 2024. Based on current information, the increases in tariffs are expected to increase the procurement costs of Marimekko products sold in the US market, but the company has initiated diverse measures to mitigate the negative impacts of the tariffs.

Early commitments to product orders from partner suppliers, typical of the industry and partly further emphasized due to different factors, undermine the company’s ability to optimize product orders and respond to rapid changes in demand and supply environment, which also increases risks related to sales, relative profitability, inventory management and cash flow. This also hampers responding to the increasing tariffs in the US. There are also uncertainties related to global production and logistic chains, which may cause delays, for example, and thus have an impact on the company’s sales and profitability. Marimekko works actively in various ways to ensure functioning production and logistics chains, to mitigate increased costs and other negative impacts, to avoid delays, and to enhance inventory management.

Marimekko is closely monitoring the development of global trade policy and tariffs between countries, general economic situation, the development of consumer confidence and purchasing power and the impacts of possible exceptional situations and disruptions, and adjusts its operations and plans accordingly.